How to Trade Event Markets: Reading Odds, Managing Liquidity, and Betting on Outcomes
Mid-thought: markets reflect stories more than facts. Wow—sometimes they move on a rumor and never look back. Traders in prediction markets live at that intersection: probability, narrative, and capital. I’ve traded these markets enough to have bruises and a few wins. I’ll be candid: this space is messy, but that mess creates opportunity. Prediction markets…